| Party | Weighted average (%) | State space model %, median value of simulations) |
CEC results (%) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster.ge's forecast for October 14 | Diff with the CEC | Pollster.ge's forecast for October 28 | Diff with the CEC | ||
| Georgian Dream | 47 | -1 | 42 | -6 | 48 |
| UNM | 21 | -6 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
| European Georgia | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Strategy Aghmashenebeli | 5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Lelo | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Labor | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Girchi | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Alliance of Patriots | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Citizens | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |